Monday, September 24, 2007

Braves Playoff Odds

According to baseball prospectus, the Braves have less than 1 % chance of making the playoffs. So, consider the season pretty much done. I do love how the Braves never give up, they are still playing good ball games going 8-2 in their last 10.

The Phillies have a 43 % chance at the wild card and a 48 % chance for the playoffs. Still a good shot, but I don't see it. It's going to another competitive race next season for sure. Mets, Phillies, and Braves will all be at it again, with the Braves being a lot more involved.

I took a look at ESPN's relative power index, and the Braves expected win loss totals at this point is 86-70. I figured it would be higher than the actual record (82-74). I can recall a couple of games the Braves should have won.

I compared the expected wins and loss with the other teams. Quite interesting...

Braves:86-70 Actual Record:82-74

Mets:85-70 Actual Record:87-68

Phillies:84-72 Actual Record:85-71

I don't really like making excuses, but the Braves did underachieve this season.