It's been a while since I did a player forecast. Honestly I don't even know if I'll get through the batting lineup before the season starts, but it doesn't matter I guess. I decided I'm not going to do any relief pitchers, bench guys and even Brandon Beachy. Relief pitcher's and utility/bench player's are hard enough because their stats usually fluctuate year to year. Beachy doesn't have a large enough sample size of stats to really go off of. Now that I say that, I might not even do Freddie Freeman. We'll see.
Jair Jurrjens is not an easy one to predict. FIP and xFip suggest he was pretty lucky in 2009 with an ERA of 2.60 in 215 IP. His WHIP was 1.21 which is pretty high for someone with an ERA that low as well.
In 2010 Jurrjens struggled. He dealt with a couple of injuries and never got it together. He compiled 116 IP and had an ugly 4.64 ERA and 1.39 WHIP to go with it.
Speaking of injuries, Jurrjens pitched today in Spring vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, but left early after one inning due to right side discomfort, but it was probably a "cramp" and he could of continued to pitched if he needed. A precautionary measure apparently is all it was.
I got a lot of different stat suggestions from fangraphs. It appears no one is really sure what to expect.
I'm going to throw something out there, perhaps something similar to his 2008 season.
11-8, 180 IP, 3.72 ERA, 130 K, 1.30 WHIP
Thursday, March 24, 2011
Jair Jurrjens Projection
Posted by bravesbaseball at 9:32 PM
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